Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30

Apr 27, 2025 at 11.15am UK

Suzuki Arena (Kielce)

Korona Kielce
3 - 1
Jagiellonia

Schikavko (45+6'), Resta Tell (49'), Fornalczyk (59')
Matuszewski (28'), Dlugosz (64'), Trojak (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pululu (24' pen.)
Pululu (36'), Moutinho (69'), Romanczuk (84')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Korona Kielce
Saturday, April 19 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin
Monday, April 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.

Result
Korona Kielce	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
48.06% ( -0.09)	25.62% ( 0.02)	26.32% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.82% (

-0.04)

52.18% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11% (

-0.04)

73.89% (

0.04)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

-0.05)

21.72% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11% (

-0.09)

54.89% (

0.09)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.34% (

0.03)

34.66% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61% (

0.03)

71.39% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Korona Kielce 48.06%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 26.32%

Draw 25.62%

Korona Kielce	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.06%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.32%