Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.