Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 11, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Suzuki Arena (Kielce)

Korona Kielce
2 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Soteriou (69'), Dalmau (80')
Trojak (35'), Nono (48'), Blanik (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shehu (73')
Shehu (2'), Therkildsen (68'), Czyz (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, April 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-0 Gdansk
Friday, April 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.

Result
Korona KielceDrawWidzew Lodz
43.76% (0.054000000000002 0.05)26.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)29.87% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)53.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)74.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.024999999999991 0.02)24.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.034000000000006 0.03)58.49% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)32.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.044 -0.04)68.99% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 43.76%
    Widzew Lodz 29.87%
    Draw 26.37%
Korona KielceDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 43.76%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.87%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Widzew Lodz
0-1
Korona Kielce

Shehu (79')
Nagamatsu (80')
Zapytowski (12'), Nuno (21'), Fornalczyk (41'), Trojak (60')
Apr 1, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Widzew Lodz
3-1
Korona Kielce
Rondic (45+1'), Alvarez (56'), Klimek (86')
Sanchez (78')
Schikavko (75')
Hofmeister (90')
Sep 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Korona Kielce
1-1
Widzew Lodz
Czyzycki (2')
Hofmeister (52'), Blanik (83'), Malarczyk (90+5')
Pawlowski (42' pen.)
Shehu (25'), Sanchez (29'), Cigaņiks (85')