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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 29, 2023 at 11am UK
Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
3 - 1
Chornomorets

Guerrero (16'), Antyukh (34'), Rusyn (79')
Imerekov (43')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ermakov (44')
Avagimian (19'), Gucek (64'), Badibanga (89')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets Odesa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Luhansk
Friday, April 21 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-3 Chornomorets
Sunday, April 23 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawChornomorets Odesa
48.15% (0.108 0.11) 24.39% (0.115 0.12) 27.47% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 55.98% (-0.559 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (-0.654 -0.65)46.28% (0.664 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (-0.621 -0.62)68.57% (0.63000000000001 0.63)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.211 -0.21)19.3% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95% (-0.355 -0.35)51.05% (0.363 0.36)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.503 -0.5)30.63% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-0.6 -0.6)66.88% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 48.15%
    Chornomorets Odesa 27.47%
    Draw 24.38%
Zorya LuhanskDrawChornomorets Odesa
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8% (0.115 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 7% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.47%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 1pm
gameweek 8
Chornomorets
0-4
Luhansk
Buletsa (17'), Kyryukhantsev (30'), Rusyn (44'), Shakhov (86')
Shakhov (57')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Sep 19, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Luhansk
3-0
Chornomorets
Kabaiev (2'), Hladkyy (45+1' pen.), Sayyadmanesh (89')
Favorov (38'), Kabaiev (56'), Sayyadmanesh (89')

Mykhailenko (12'), Avagimian (82')
Nov 4, 2018 5.30pm
gameweek 14
Chornomorets
0-3
Luhansk

Ostapenko (25')
Tymchyk (27'), Mayboroda (66'), Karavaev (72')
Aug 4, 2018 5.30pm
gameweek 3
Luhansk
1-1
Chornomorets
Ratao (22')
Cheberko (88')
Savchenko (59')
Grachov (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar26204258213764
2Dynamo Kiev26193462253760
3Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi26166447252254
4Dnipro-1Dnipro-126129536251145
5Rukh Lviv261111439271244
6Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya2612683226642
7LNZ CherkasyCherkasy2688102531-632
8Vorskla PoltavaVorskla2686122338-1530
9Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka2561181819-129
10Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets2692153540-529
11Zorya LuhanskLuhansk2569102532-727
12FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya2668122234-1226
13Obolon KyivObolon26410121635-1922
14Veres2648142341-1820
15Minai26310132040-2019
16Metalist Kharkiv2647152547-2219


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