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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a win it was 1-2 (4.18%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
67.55% | 17.42% | 15.03% |
Both teams to score 61.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.52% | 30.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.23% | 51.77% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.67% | 8.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.97% | 29.03% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% | 33.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% | 69.79% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 7.8% 3-0 @ 7.07% 1-0 @ 6.87% 4-1 @ 4.85% 4-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 4.31% 4-2 @ 2.68% 5-1 @ 2.41% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-2 @ 1.33% 6-1 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.98% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.8% Total : 67.55% | 1-1 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 2.76% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.42% | 1-2 @ 4.18% 0-1 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-2 @ 1.68% 1-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.67% Total : 15.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |