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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 89.57%. A draw had a probability of 6.5% and a win for had a probability of 3.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 4-1 with a probability of 7.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (2.35%), while for a win it was 1-2 (1.08%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
89.57% | 6.48% | 3.95% |
Both teams to score 63.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
90.26% | 9.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
78.14% | 21.86% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
98.69% | 1.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
93% | 7.01% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% | 35.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.58% | 72.42% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
4-1 @ 7.18% 4-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 6.6% 3-0 @ 6.4% 5-1 @ 6.25% 5-0 @ 6.06% 2-1 @ 4.56% 6-1 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 4.42% 6-0 @ 4.39% 4-2 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.41% 5-2 @ 3.22% 7-1 @ 2.81% 7-0 @ 2.73% 6-2 @ 2.34% 1-0 @ 2.03% 8-1 @ 1.53% 8-0 @ 1.48% 7-2 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 1.27% 5-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 5.15% Total : 89.57% | 2-2 @ 2.35% 1-1 @ 2.1% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.86% Total : 6.48% | 1-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.87% Total : 3.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |