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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 89.57%. A draw had a probability of 6.5% and a win for had a probability of 3.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 4-1 with a probability of 7.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (2.35%), while for a win it was 1-2 (1.08%).
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 89.57% | 6.48% | 3.95% |
| Both teams to score 63.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 90.26% | 9.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 78.14% | 21.86% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.69% | 1.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 93% | 7.01% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% | 35.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% | 72.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 4-1 @ 7.18% 4-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 6.6% 3-0 @ 6.4% 5-1 @ 6.25% 5-0 @ 6.06% 2-1 @ 4.56% 6-1 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 4.42% 6-0 @ 4.39% 4-2 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.41% 5-2 @ 3.22% 7-1 @ 2.81% 7-0 @ 2.73% 6-2 @ 2.34% 1-0 @ 2.03% 8-1 @ 1.53% 8-0 @ 1.48% 7-2 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 1.27% 5-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 5.15% Total : 89.57% | 2-2 @ 2.35% 1-1 @ 2.1% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.86% Total : 6.48% | 1-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.87% Total : 3.95% |