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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.06%) and 4-1 (6.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.84%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.95%).
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 74.32% | 13.33% | 12.35% |
| Both teams to score 71.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 84.22% | 15.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 68.17% | 31.83% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.23% | 3.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.86% | 16.14% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% | 25.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.77% | 60.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 3-1 @ 7.72% 2-1 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 6.33% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-2 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 5.16% 4-0 @ 4.62% 4-2 @ 4.34% 5-1 @ 4.15% 1-0 @ 3.14% 5-0 @ 3.03% 5-2 @ 2.84% 6-1 @ 2.27% 4-3 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1.66% 6-2 @ 1.56% 5-3 @ 1.3% 7-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 5.17% Total : 74.32% | 2-2 @ 4.84% 1-1 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 2.41% 0-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.82% Total : 13.33% | 1-2 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 1.35% 0-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.54% Total : 12.35% |