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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.06%) and 4-1 (6.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.84%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.95%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
74.32% | 13.33% | 12.35% |
Both teams to score 71.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
84.22% | 15.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
68.17% | 31.83% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.23% | 3.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.86% | 16.14% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% | 25.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% | 60.23% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
3-1 @ 7.72% 2-1 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 6.33% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-2 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 5.16% 4-0 @ 4.62% 4-2 @ 4.34% 5-1 @ 4.15% 1-0 @ 3.14% 5-0 @ 3.03% 5-2 @ 2.84% 6-1 @ 2.27% 4-3 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1.66% 6-2 @ 1.56% 5-3 @ 1.3% 7-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 5.17% Total : 74.32% | 2-2 @ 4.84% 1-1 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 2.41% 0-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.82% Total : 13.33% | 1-2 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 1.35% 0-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.54% Total : 12.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |