MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 12:43:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Boras Arena
Hammarby

Elfsborg
2 - 0
Hammarby

Aron Gudjohnsen (13'), Larsson (86')
Lagerbielke (5'), Romer (53'), Hult (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Strand (68'), Erabi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Hammarby, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AIK 1-2 Elfsborg
Sunday, June 11 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 2-1 Brommapojkarna
Friday, June 9 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Elfsborg 3-1 Hammarby

Elfsborg have won four of their last five top-flight home games, and we think they will claim another home win when they face a Hammarby side who are yet to win an away league match this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
ElfsborgDrawHammarby
49.96% (0.358 0.36) 23.89% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 26.14% (-0.331 -0.33)
Both teams to score 56.49% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (-0.134 -0.13)45.08% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-0.127 -0.13)67.42% (0.12 0.12)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.087000000000003 0.09)18.11% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94% (0.151 0.15)49.06% (-0.158 -0.16)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.32900000000001 -0.33)31.01% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.384 -0.38)67.32% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Elfsborg 49.96%
    Hammarby 26.14%
    Draw 23.88%
ElfsborgDrawHammarby
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 49.96%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 26.14%

How you voted: Elfsborg vs Hammarby

Elfsborg
86.8%
Draw
10.5%
Hammarby
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Elfsborg
2-1
Hammarby
Bernhardsson (33'), Soderberg (89')
Nilsson (55')
Jul 17, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Hammarby
3-0
Elfsborg
Saidi (8'), Ludwigson (44', 74')

Boateng (23')
Aug 22, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
Elfsborg
2-2
Hammarby
Bernhardsson (5'), Ondrejka (81')
Romer (39'), Ndione (58'), Holst (61')
Matko (90+1'), Khalili (90+5' pen.)
Bojanic (60'), Gudni Fjoluson (66')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Hammarby
0-2
Elfsborg

Swedberg (32'), Khalili (76'), Jeahze (85')
Alm (26'), Bernhardsson (67')
Okkels (66')
Aug 16, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Hammarby
2-2
Elfsborg
Khalili (32'), Johannsson (79' pen.)
Carlos de Brito (82'), Fallman (88')
Frick (19'), Karlsson (64')
Strand (68'), Frick (86'), Okumu (87')
Strand (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo66001811718
2Halmstads BKHalmstad640277012
3AIK FotbollAIK632188011
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden6312107310
5Mjallby AIF6312107310
6HackenHacken63121110110
7IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping6312912-310
8HammarbyHammarby630310829
9GAISGAIS6303710-39
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna6222121028
11SiriusSirius621367-17
12IFK GoteborgGoteborg621367-17
13ElfsborgElfsborg6213811-37
14Varnamo6114513-84
15Vasteras SKVasteras610537-43
16KalmarKalmar6105813-53


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