Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 3

Apr 6, 2025 at 1pm UK

City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 - 1
Smorgon

Kirilenko (27')
Mikhalenko (17'), Yakushevich (19'), Senko (76'), Kirilenko (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Slesarchuk (26')
Diallo (75'), Daineko (88')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions

Last Game: MKK-Dnepr 2-2 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Saturday, March 29 at 11am in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Smorgon

All competitions

Last Game: Slutsk 2-0 Smorgon
Saturday, March 29 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Smorgon
42.5% ( -0.8)	27.65% ( -0.05)	29.84% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 47.42% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.92% (

0.49)

58.07% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.25% (

0.38)

78.75% (

-0.38)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

-0.2)

27.01% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

-0.26)

62.37% (

0.26)

Smorgon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

0.92)

35.03% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22% (

0.95)

71.77% (

-0.94)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 42.5%

Smorgon 29.84%

Draw 27.65%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Smorgon
1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.5%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.13% Total : 29.84%