Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.