Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 27

Nov 3, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
1 - 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Likhtin (57')
Levkovets (19'), Camara (64'), Shalashnikov (84'), Askarov (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Skshinecki (35'), Godyaev (42'), Ageev (45+2'), Poznyak (82')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Smorgon

All competitions

Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 0-0 Smorgon
Friday, October 25 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions

Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Tuesday, October 29 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.

Result
Smorgon	Draw	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
42.74% ( 0.32)	25.11% ( -0.18)	32.14% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.93% (

0.74)

47.07% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.69% (

0.69)

69.31% (

-0.69)

Smorgon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01% (

0.47)

21.99% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7% (

0.71)

55.3% (

-0.71)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

0.27)

27.79% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62% (

0.34)

63.38% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Smorgon 42.74%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32.14%

Draw 25.11%

Smorgon	Draw	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.74%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.14%