Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Sep 22, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadyen Spartak

Dnepr Mogilev
2 - 1
Smorgon

Boltrushevich (67'), Santos Brito (85')
Margiev (33'), Generalov (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gorbach (81')
Levkovets (31'), Tishko (40')
Tishko (88')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Dnepr Mogilev and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev
Monday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Smorgon 0-4 Torpedo-BelAZ
Saturday, September 14 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Dnepr MogilevDrawSmorgon
36.5% (0.114 0.11)26.1% (0.020000000000003 0.02)37.39% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.88% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)50.62% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)72.53% (0.077000000000012 0.08)
Dnepr Mogilev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)62.15% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (-0.111 -0.11)26.34% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (-0.15 -0.15)61.48% (0.156 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Dnepr Mogilev 36.51%
    Smorgon 37.39%
    Draw 26.1%
Dnepr MogilevDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.39%

Head to Head
May 1, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 7
Smorgon
0-0
Dnepr Mogilev
Seleznev (87')
Dunaev (45')
rhs 2.0


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