Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slavia Mozyr would win this match.