Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Brest would win this match.