Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.

Result
Neman	Draw	Dnepr Mogilev
52% ( 0.08)	25.34% ( -0.01)	22.66% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.33% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.93% (

-0.03)

54.07% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.5% (

-0.02)

75.5% (

0.02)

Neman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

0.02)

20.81% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53% (

0.03)

53.47% (

-0.04)

Dnepr Mogilev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.02% (

-0.08)

38.97% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.3% (

-0.08)

75.7% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Neman 52%

Dnepr Mogilev 22.66%

Draw 25.34%

Neman	Draw	Dnepr Mogilev
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 52%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 22.66%