Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.