Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Aug 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3 - 1
Dnepr Mogilev

Harutyunyan (22'), Babich (55'), Petrenko (74')
Godyaev (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klochkov (78' pen.)
Vershinin (55'), Santos Brito (68'), Kapov (71')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Dnepr Mogilev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 1-1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Sunday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

Dnepr Mogilev

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 Slavia Mozyr
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.

Result
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawDnepr Mogilev
42.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)26.32% (0.055 0.05)31.55% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (-0.217 -0.22)52.41% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (-0.188 -0.19)74.09% (0.188 0.19)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.137 -0.14)24.62% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.192 -0.19)59.13% (0.192 0.19)
Dnepr Mogilev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)30.85% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-0.113 -0.11)67.13% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 42.12%
    Dnepr Mogilev 31.55%
    Draw 26.32%
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawDnepr Mogilev
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.55%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 2
Dnepr Mogilev
0-0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Kargbo Jr (36')
Zhevnerov (33'), Harutyunyan (81'), Milyutin (90+3')
Nov 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 29
Dnepr Mogilev
0-1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Myalkovskiy (30')
Jul 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0
Dnepr Mogilev
Sazanovich (6')

Bordukov (73')