Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Torpedo-BelAZ	Draw	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
59.87% ( -0.05)	22.73% ( 0.03)	17.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64% (

-0.08)

50.35% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7% (

-0.07)

72.29% (

0.07)

Torpedo-BelAZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56% (

-0.05)

16.44% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87% (

-0.09)

46.12% (

0.08)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.44% (

-0.02)

42.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.08% (

-0.02)

78.91% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Torpedo-BelAZ 59.87%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 17.39%

Draw 22.73%

Torpedo-BelAZ	Draw	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 59.87%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.39%