Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Milsami had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Milsami win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.