Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.