Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.36%) and 0-3 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.