Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Borisov Arena

BATE
2 - 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe

Shvedchikov (8'), Zhulpa (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between BATE Borisov and Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Form, Standings, Stats

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Last Game: Smorgon 0-0 BATE
Saturday, July 6 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League

Istiqlol Dushanbe

All competitions
Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 1-1 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, December 5 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
36%25.35%38.64%
Both teams to score 56.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68%47.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46%69.54%
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.46%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86%24.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55%58.44%
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 36%
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 38.65%
    Draw 25.34%
BATE BorisovDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.78%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 4.03%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.65%