Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Borisov Arena

BATE
0 - 1
FC Minsk


Shvedchikov (31'), Khadarkevich (74'), Pashevich (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Varaksa (41')
Mikhalenko (34'), Zemko (61')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between BATE Borisov and FC Minsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Friday, July 19 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

FC Minsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Soligorsk 2-2 FC Minsk
Saturday, July 27 at 9am in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawFC Minsk
52.74% (0.305 0.31)24.68% (-0.012 -0.01)22.58% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.323 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (-0.249 -0.25)51.6% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (-0.217 -0.22)73.39% (0.215 0.22)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)19.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.57% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
FC Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.34% (-0.42 -0.42)37.66% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.56% (-0.412 -0.41)74.44% (0.41000000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 52.73%
    FC Minsk 22.58%
    Draw 24.68%
BATE BorisovDrawFC Minsk
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.58%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 10am
Gameweek 16
FC Minsk
0-1
BATE

Nazarenko (53'), Mikhalenko (66')
Panyukov (52')
Khadarkevich (11'), Jimoh (43')
Oct 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
BATE
1-2
FC Minsk
Laptev (55')
Khadarkevich (8'), Laptev (24')
Migdalenok (25'), Martynov (90+4')
Dikhtievsky (80')
Apr 8, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 3
FC Minsk
2-2
BATE
Kasarab (64'), Dusheuski (84')
Bane (23'), Gromyko (78' pen.)
Nov 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 29
BATE
3-2
FC Minsk
Dragun (42'), Milic (53'), Bessmertny (83')
Khvashchinskiy (68', 90+3')
Jul 9, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 14
FC Minsk
2-2
BATE
Bogomolskiy (9'), Shramchenko (23')
Bourama (50'), Shramchenko (88')
Vasilevich (77'), Milic (80')