Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.