Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.