Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.