Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.