Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.