Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for BATE Borisov in this match.