Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 61.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.