Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 4.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.2%) and 0-1 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.