Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 44.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Neman in this match.