Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 65.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 12.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.43%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.