Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Isloch had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Isloch win it was 1-0 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.