Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Mar 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadyen Dynama

Dinamo Minsk
1 - 0
Smorgon

Igor de Sousa Carneiro Martins (70')
Vakulich (37'), Vakulich (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(67'), Ayub Ben Burahima Diallo (67')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Dinamo Minsk and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Minsk

All competitions
Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 4-0 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: Smorgon 1-0 Dinamo Minsk
Monday, December 2 at 11am in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dinamo Minsk in this match.

Result
Dinamo MinskDrawSmorgon
62.25% (-1.057 -1.06)22.32% (0.489 0.49)15.43% (0.567 0.57)
Both teams to score 45.25% (-0.135 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (-0.895 -0.89)51.88% (0.89400000000001 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (-0.779 -0.78)73.63% (0.77800000000001 0.78)
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (-0.655 -0.66)16.16% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.38% (-1.206 -1.21)45.62% (1.204 1.2)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.97% (0.256 0.26)46.02% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.26% (0.198 0.2)81.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Minsk 62.24%
    Smorgon 15.43%
    Draw 22.32%
Dinamo MinskDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 13.55% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.5% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 62.24%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.261 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.242 0.24)
1-2 @ 4.08% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.43%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2024 11am
Gameweek 16
Smorgon
1-0
Dinamo Minsk
Lamine Bamba (44')
Camara (42'), Kopytich (90+3'), Stankevych (90'), Shalashnikov (90+3')

Silinskiy (27')
Silinskiy (58'), Sedko (90+3'), Sedko (90+2')
Mar 16, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 1
Dinamo Minsk
5-0
Smorgon
Sokolovskiy (20'), Meleshin (29'), Begunov (31'), Adeola (42', 46')

Leonovich (24'), Camara (68')
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Dinamo Minsk
7-0
Smorgon
Sachivko (1'), Morozov (6', 66'), Bykov (30'), Zorin (40', 50'), Palitsevich (86')
Morozov (68')
Jun 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Smorgon
3-1
Dinamo Minsk
Krasnov (12'), Svirepa (45' og.), Dukso (72')
Zhukov (10'), Atrashkevich (13'), Kovalevich (21'), Camara (25')
Khvashchinskiy (35')
Shvyatsow (23'), Sedko (25')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Smorgon
0-5
Dinamo Minsk

Pavlyuchek (39')
Morel Poe (12', 25'), Bakhar (40'), Latykhov (73'), Demchenko (87')