Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dinamo Minsk in this match.