Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10

Apr 19, 2025 at 12.45pm UK

Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Lewis (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hughes (22')
Roberts (45+6'), Disney (87')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Aberystwyth
Saturday, April 12 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-2 Barry
Sunday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 5.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.37%) and 0-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
5.55% ( -0.06)	12.25% ( -0.39)	82.2% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 41.09% (

1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.04% (

1.78)

35.96% (

-1.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.95% (

1.94)

58.05% (

-1.94)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.99% (

1.1)

56.01% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.52% (

0.63)

88.48% (

-0.63)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.41% (

0.46)

6.59% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.49% (

1.24)

24.51% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Aberystwyth Town 5.55%

Connah's Quay Nomads 82.19%

Draw 12.25%

Aberystwyth Town	Draw	Connah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 5.55%	1-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.44% Total : 12.25%	0-2 @ 13.65% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 12.37% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.65) 0-4 @ 8.41% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.17% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 4.88% ( 0.23) 0-5 @ 4.58% ( 0.18) 1-5 @ 2.65% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.12) 0-6 @ 2.07% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) 1-6 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.77% Total : 82.19%