Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.