Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Feb 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Newtown logo

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Newtown

Kenny (17')
Nash (64'), Edwards (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 2-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 2-2 Briton Ferry
Friday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 17.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
62.4% (0.052 0.05)19.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)17.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.41% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.07% (0.088999999999999 0.09)36.93% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.89% (0.094000000000001 0.09)59.11% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (0.039999999999992 0.04)11.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.95% (0.086000000000006 0.09)36.05% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)34.11% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)70.8% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 62.4%
    Newtown AFC 17.76%
    Draw 19.84%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.85% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 62.4%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.84%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 17.76%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Newtown
0-3
Connah's Quay

Pryce (24'), Roberts (41'), Oswell (47')
Roberts (58')
Nash (41'), Hughes (59'), Kenny (63')
Nash (38'), Edwards (51')
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
1-1
Newtown
Hughes (32')
Edwards (35'), Edwards (54')
Williams (45+1')
Evans (4'), Sutton (61')
Mar 29, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
0-0
Newtown
Edwards (59')
Cowans (13'), Roberts (38')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Connah's Quay
Oswell (9', 59')
Evans (51'), Ismail (58'), Sears (81'), Wycherley (85'), Downs (87')
Davies (27', 45+3'), Kenny (53')
Poole (19'), Harrington (45+1'), Firth (73')
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Newtown
1-2
Connah's Quay
Sears (90+5')
Sutton (53'), Roberts (72')
Morris (85'), Davies (90+2')
Harrington (19'), Kenny (21')
rhs 2.0


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