Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell
Newtown logo

Flint Town
2 - 0
Newtown

Phillips (53'), Burke (87')
Sutton (35'), Evans (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lambert (31'), Ismail (45+1'), Reeves (56'), Oswell (67'), Hughes (88'), Hughes (89')
Harries (59')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 7-2 Flint Town
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 Haverfordwest
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawNewtown AFC
44.2% (-0.299 -0.3)23.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)32.09% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 61.25% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.38% (0.222 0.22)40.61% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37% (0.228 0.23)62.99% (-0.226 -0.23)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)18.67% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)50% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (0.29900000000001 0.3)24.68% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (0.415 0.41)59.22% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 44.2%
    Newtown AFC 32.09%
    Draw 23.7%
Flint Town UnitedDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.09%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Newtown
2-4
Flint Town
Oswell (43'), Ismail (77')
Lambert (9'), Lee (17'), Reeves (58'), Jones (88')
Sanogo Fofana (44'), Yonsian (52'), Hughes (59'), Phillips (76')
Nov 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Flint Town
1-4
Newtown
Cadwallader (35')
Cowans (62'), Ismail (68'), Walker (84'), Williams (90')
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
0-2
Flint Town

Sears (73')
Harrison (3'), Simmonds (35')
Owen (54'), Simmonds (62'), Ibrahim (71'), Beaumont (81')
Owen (72')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Flint Town
1-1
Newtown
Jones (90')
Harrison (38'), Cadwallader (60'), Maher (61')
Williams (51')
Apr 2, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 5
Newtown
2-1
Flint Town
Williams (12', 45+1' pen.)
Sutton (4')
Cadwallader (51')
Nash (45')
Jones (54')
rhs 2.0


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