Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 49%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.