Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.