Caernarfon

1 - 5

Pen-y-Bont

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.