Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15

Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 5
Pen-y-Bont

Mendes (68')
John Williams (21'), Owen (74')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Venables (22'), Wood (45+1', 65'), Kircough (72'), Crole (82')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, October 26 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-1 Bala Town
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
22.3% ( 0.22)	22.76% ( 0.04)	54.94% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 55.88% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.16% (

0.07)

43.84% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.77% (

0.07)

66.23% (

-0.06)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4% (

0.24)

33.59% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.76% (

0.26)

70.24% (

-0.26)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15% (

-0.06)

15.85% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.95% (

-0.12)

45.05% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 22.3%

Pen-y-Bont 54.94%

Draw 22.75%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 22.3%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 54.94%