Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.