Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
3 - 0
Aberystwyth

Yonsian (3', 25', 50')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Thorn (55')

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flint Town United

All competitions

Last Game: Flint Town 2-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.

Result
Flint Town United	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
66.36% ( 0.34)	18.35% ( -0.15)	15.29% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.43% (

0.32)

34.56% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.5% (

0.36)

56.5% (

-0.36)

Flint Town United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.31% (

0.17)

9.68% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.71% (

0.4)

32.29% (

-0.39)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47% (

-0.03)

35.53% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

-0.04)

72.29% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Flint Town United 66.36%

Aberystwyth Town 15.29%

Draw 18.35%

Flint Town United	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.44% Total : 66.36%	1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.35%	1-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.29%