Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Old Road

Briton Ferry
4 - 0
Aberystwyth

Bowen (21'), Walters (42'), Demery (88', 90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mason (47')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Briton Ferry and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Briton Ferry
Sunday, October 27 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-4 New Saints
Sunday, October 27 at 1pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Briton Ferry win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Briton Ferry win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Briton Ferry would win this match.

Result
Briton FerryDrawAberystwyth Town
48.88% (0.186 0.19)22.89% (0.2 0.2)28.23% (-0.39 -0.39)
Both teams to score 61.79% (-1.042 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (-1.243 -1.24)38.87% (1.238 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-1.32 -1.32)61.19% (1.314 1.31)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (-0.396 -0.4)16.18% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (-0.724 -0.72)45.65% (0.72 0.72)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.89500000000001 -0.9)26.27% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-1.208 -1.21)61.39% (1.203 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Briton Ferry 48.88%
    Aberystwyth Town 28.23%
    Draw 22.88%
Briton FerryDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.345 0.35)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.244 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.187 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 28.23%