Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Briton Ferry	Draw	Newtown AFC
25.06% ( 1)	22.46% ( 0.42)	52.48% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 60.35% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.52% (

-0.97)

39.48% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.17% (

-1.02)

61.82% (

1.02)

Briton Ferry Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

0.27)

28.88% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

0.33)

64.75% (

-0.33)

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.85% (

-0.81)

15.15% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.26% (

-1.54)

43.73% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Briton Ferry 25.07%

Newtown AFC 52.48%

Draw 22.45%

Briton Ferry	Draw	Newtown AFC
2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.07%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.93% Total : 52.48%