Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Old Road

Briton Ferry
0 - 1
Caernarfon


Hurford (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (38')
Clarke (31'), Sears (86')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Briton Ferry and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 4-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-5 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Briton FerryDrawCaernarfon Town
35.87% (0.047999999999995 0.05)23.92% (0.149 0.15)40.21% (-0.197 -0.2)
Both teams to score 61.62% (-0.556 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.39% (-0.725 -0.73)40.61% (0.724 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.01% (-0.747 -0.75)62.99% (0.746 0.75)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.306 -0.31)22.56% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.459 -0.46)56.16% (0.459 0.46)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.401 -0.4)20.42% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (-0.639 -0.64)52.86% (0.638 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Briton Ferry 35.87%
    Caernarfon Town 40.21%
    Draw 23.91%
Briton FerryDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.165 0.17)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 40.21%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
3-2
Briton Ferry
Clarke (12', 16')
Williams (6'), Thomas (71')
Brock (38'), Mooney (89')
Anderson (90+1')