Newtown

0 - 3

Connah's Quay

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.23%) and 0-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.