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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 3
Connah's Quay


Pryce (24'), Roberts (41'), Oswell (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nash (41'), Hughes (59'), Kenny (63')
Nash (38'), Edwards (51')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 3-1 Newtown
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 3-2 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 22.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.23%) and 0-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
22.04% (-0.052 -0.05)21.37% (-0.067 -0.07)56.59% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 60.39% (0.178 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.28% (0.265 0.27)37.72% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.04% (0.284 0.28)59.96% (-0.281 -0.28)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.105 0.11)30.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (0.123 0.12)66.59% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (0.127 0.13)13.24% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.99% (0.252 0.25)40% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 22.04%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 56.59%
    Draw 21.37%
Newtown AFCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 22.04%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.37%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.6% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.54% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.93% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.34% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.8% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.99% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.13% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 56.59%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
1-1
Newtown
Hughes (32')
Edwards (35'), Edwards (54')
Williams (45+1')
Evans (4'), Sutton (61')
Mar 29, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
0-0
Newtown
Edwards (59')
Cowans (13'), Roberts (38')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Newtown
2-3
Connah's Quay
Oswell (9', 59')
Evans (51'), Ismail (58'), Sears (81'), Wycherley (85'), Downs (87')
Davies (27', 45+3'), Kenny (53')
Poole (19'), Harrington (45+1'), Firth (73')
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Newtown
1-2
Connah's Quay
Sears (90+5')
Sutton (53'), Roberts (72')
Morris (85'), Davies (90+2')
Harrington (19'), Kenny (21')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
3-1
Newtown
Davies (2'), Nash (63'), Franklin (66')
Disney (18'), Harrington (88')
Hughes (15')
Evans (52'), Hughes (90')