Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 11.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 1-2 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.