Welsh Premier League Gameweek 18
Connah's Quay
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
Caernarfon
  • Rhys Hughes 34' goal
  • Chris Marriott 69' yellowcard
  • Ben Nash 71' yellowcard
  • Noah Edwards 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Mendes 15'
  • goal Adam Davies 61'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sears 65'
  • yellowcard Phil Mooney 83'
  • redcard Phil Mooney 88'

Connah's Quay Nomads vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 2.30pm
Newtown 0 - 3 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Rhys Hughes

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
Briton Ferry 0 - 1 Caernarfon
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Louis Lloyd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.46%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Connah's Quay Nomads 55.46% ▼ (-1.76)
Draw 22.23% ▲ (+0.45)
Caernarfon Town 22.31% ▲ (+1.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.71% ▲ (+0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.58% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 41.42% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 36.18% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 3.5 63.82% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 4.5 19.15% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 80.84% ▲ (+0.27)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5 85.17% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 0.5 14.83% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 1.5 56.86% ▼ (-1.31)
Under 1.5 43.14% ▲ (+1.31)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.76% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 0.5 32.23% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 1.5 31.27% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 1.5 68.73% ▼ (-1.14)

Score analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 55.46%
Draw 22.23%
Caernarfon Town 22.31%
Connah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.33)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.23)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 55.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.23%
Caernarfon Town
1-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.27)
0-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.31%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
Sep 28, 2024 5.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Oval
Connah's Quay
  • Paulo Mendes 18' goal
  • Darren Thomas 28' yellowcard
  • Darren Thomas 45'+1' goal
  • Zack Clarke 56' goal
  • Ryan Sears 85' yellowcard
  • Joe Faux 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Marriott 38'
  • goal John Disney 83'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 6
Caernarfon
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Oval
Connah's Quay
  • Dion Donohue 15' yellowcard
  • Louis Lloyd 53' goal
  • Marc Williams 58' goal
  • Marc Williams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Roberts 65'
  • goal Jordan Davies 90'+6'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Connah's Quay
Feb 2, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Deeside College Stadium
Caernarfon
  • Michael Wilde 59' redcard
  • Callum Bratley 70' yellowcard
  • Ryan Harrington 75' goal
  • Callum Morris 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Davies 22'
  • yellowcard Marc Williams 89'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 14
Connah's Quay
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 5 0
FT Deeside College Stadium
Caernarfon
  • Harry Franklin 2' goal
  • Harry Franklin 6' goal
  • Harry Franklin 11' goal
  • Jack Kenny 20' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 45'+2' goal
  • Jack Kenny 45'+8' goal
  • Josh Williams 73' goal
  • yellowcard Marc Williams 14'
  • yellowcard Ben Maher 54'
  • goal Louis Lloyd 79'
  • yellowcard Louis Lloyd 90'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT The Oval
Connah's Quay
  • Darren Thomas 37' yellowcard
  • Ryan Austin 61' yellowcard
  • Dion Donohue 71' yellowcard
  • Danny Gosset 75' yellowcard
  • goal Declan Poole 10'
  • goal Jack Kenny 55'
  • goal Jordan Davies 70'
  • goal Noah Edwards 77'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 15
Connah's Quay
Nov 18, 2022 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Deeside College Stadium
Caernarfon
  • Ben Nash 69' goal
  • Joe Malkin 74' goal
  • Joe Malkin 90'+4' goal
  • goal Fidel O'Rourke 10'
  • goal Joe Faux 50'
  • goal Lloyd Marsh-Hughes 65'

Form Data

Newtown 0 - 3 Connah's Quay
Barry 3 - 2 Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay 1 - 0 Cardiff MU
Connah's Quay 1 - 2 New Saints
Connah's Quay 2 - 1 Briton Ferry
Bala Town 0 - 0 Connah's Quay
Briton Ferry 0 - 1 Caernarfon
Caernarfon 1 - 5 Pen-y-Bont
Haverfordwest 0 - 0 Caernarfon
Caernarfon 1 - 4 Aberystwyth
Caernarfon 1 - 2 Newtown
New Saints 1 - 2 Caernarfon