Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.