Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFC	Draw	Briton Ferry
40.28%	23.23%	36.49%

Both teams to score 64.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.9%

37.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.7%

59.29%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1%

18.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.62%

50.38%

Briton Ferry Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33%

20.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75%

53.24%

Score Analysis

Newtown AFC 40.28%

Briton Ferry 36.49%

Draw 23.22%

Newtown AFC	Draw	Briton Ferry
2-1 @ 8.55% 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.52% Total : 40.28%	1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.49%